In trying to predict a winner of the 2018 World Cup being held in Russia, Goldman Sachs used machine learning to run 200,000 models to help forecast specific match scores at this year’s tournament. Goldman then simulated 1 million variations of the tournament to calculate the probability of advancement for each squad. The result – Brazil is predicted to get revenge on Germany after their humiliating 2014 home country defeat, while France and Portugal round out the final four and England is expected to make to the quarterfinals, where Goldman says it will lose to Germany.
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